Only read the first page as of this post, but here are my thoughts:
First, those skittles aren't a slouch by any means. That one, according to the video, ran 11.6 with a 100-shot....not sure if he used the squeeze on that run or not though, but off the squeeze, he probably runs a mid-12 in the 1/4.
Second, IIRC, those cars are about 1,000lbs or so lighter than our cars, and a bit more aerodynamic.
Third, the 2j in the video apparently is putting down about 350-375. So I ask, what's a 3700lb car putting 375 down do in the 1/4? Low 13's to mid 12's?
My conclusion: The skittle got the jump, but the supra was hanging with him the whole race 'til the end where he started creeping. Now whether that's because the driver of the neon actually let off, or the supra was really pulling....I can't say. Theoretically, the supra would've been in his power band through the whole race, so if he was holding steady in his power band, then it leads me to believe that the driver of the neon actually let off. If he had been short-shifting and was below his power band most of the race then got into it near the end...then I could see him actually reeling him in.