The highest probability I would say is a crack in the solder joint for the power pin on the cluster. If you know how to solder, get some and reflow the connector pins on the cluster. You need some precision here, so don't use a butane powered torch or giant water pipe soldering tool for this.
I wouldn't feel too bad about this. You've narrowed it down to the cluster and even know the bad pin. Worst case you might have to jumper part of the trace, shouldn't be too bad.